Fair point! However, as a scientist, you should acknowledge that even this evidence is anecdotal. We don't know (or has not been posted yet in this thread) why or why not from a biological standpoint.
OK fair enough, although all this is fairly off topic from the OP as that was concerning fall defoliation, not what I’m going to talk about now.
While a deciduous tree is in leaf, it is absorbing light, CO2 and H2O and, through a set of reactions, producing a stable organic compound - glucose. At the end of the season, plants begin to move sugars and carbohydrates from the leaves to the roots to nourish the plant during the winter months. Whatever is left over after the winter is the reserve that the tree has to push growth in the spring. When spring comes, trees take a big bet and invest most of these sugars into pushing new foliage. The bet is that these leaves will last long enough that the investment will pay off and the tree will get its sugar back with interest. When you defoliate, you are making sure that the bet
doesn’t pay off - the tree is forced to leaf out with whatever additional reserves it had left over after the spring push. Generally, that’s not much - that’s what Ryan was referring to as “a punch in the gut”. You’ll get a reduction in leaf size after defoliation to be sure - the tree is weakened without a lot of reserve glucose and carbohydrates, is unable grow strong, large, healthy leaves, and it won’t give you long extensions. Defoliate again and you’ll get even smaller leaves because the tree is weaker still - or maybe you’ll kill it.
Why don’t I defoliate trees in development? Because a weak tree with little leaves is exactly the opposite of what I want! I don’t care if it’s an elm, a maple, an oak, a ficus, or a bougainvillea. I want strong, healthy growth with big leaves and big extensions that I can wire into place throughout the growing season. When I prune, I want a big drop in auxin levels to encourage back-budding. All that growth is extremely important for building branches and it will take forever if you’re pinching and defoliating all the time because it weakens the tree. That’s the whole point of those techniques - to weaken the tree so that it produces little leaves and doesn’t grow too much. For a tree in development (and in the US, that would include almost every broadleaf bonsai that I’ve seen here), the trees need primary, secondary and tertiary branch development. Weakening the tree through defoliation before this is accomplished is really counterproductive. After branch structure with good movement and taper is in place one can start worrying about refinement techniques to build twiggy growth and tiny leaves.
So many times I’ve seen trees where people have put the cart before the horse and started pinching and defoliating before they built their trunk and branches. The result is consistent - terrible branch structure. Ramrod straight taperless branches with a poof of leaves out at the end and no interior ramification. When I’ve bought these trees it’s been for the trunk - I generally cut all the branches off and start all over again from the beginning. Tons of the progressions I’ve posted on this site are exactly that.
Scott